BMW i5 and 5-Series Forum

Post Reply
 
Thread Tools Search this Thread
      08-07-2023, 11:13 AM   #3455
fcman
Captain
678
Rep
991
Posts

Drives: 2023 G87
Join Date: Mar 2014
Location: Atlanta, GA

iTrader: (0)

Quote:
Originally Posted by Efthreeoh View Post
So, what people? Should I just walk the streets of the top 35 cities in the US and just ask random people if they think BMWs build long lasting durable vehicles? Or should I get PII and ask just BMW owners throughout the USA? Should I pay tens of thousands of dollars to get vehicle registration data (which really doesn't record milage use data) and perform some data analytics? Perhaps VIN data; I'll go to all 50 states and ask for BMW VIN information and that will tell us at least the age of BMWs by VIN for each state. I'll spend the next year of my life collecting data just to prove my point, again, which I've already proven seveal different ways so far. Lol.

I'll offer that BMW has done the data analytics and basis its OE parts business forecast. Low and behold, it still routinely offers parts for models 25, 30, and 40 years old.
You made the claim, how you decide to provide supporting evidence or proof is up to you. Consumer surveys would be a great start though imo, though sampling BMW owners only would be a flawed methodology
Appreciate 0
      08-07-2023, 11:37 AM   #3456
chad86tsi
Captain
chad86tsi's Avatar
1605
Rep
787
Posts

Drives: 2019 BMW M760i P60 Greyblack
Join Date: Apr 2022
Location: Portland metro

iTrader: (0)

Quote:
Originally Posted by fcman View Post
Not a logical fallacy to ask for proof of a claim, nor is it moving the goalposts. Consumer surveys would be a great start and at least open the debate and provide a basis for his claim.
Burden of proof logical fallacy:



The concept of "burden of proof" is a 2 way street.



changing the terms or reach of a claim to debunk it is not debunking the original claim.

Doing both at the same time is, well, kinda sad

It may advance a discussion to bring up these terms, but it's not "winning", and no one owes you a response on your terms.

We aren't a defending a PHD thesis here, no one owes you the replies you want.
Appreciate 4
M5Rick70884.00
Efthreeoh19427.50
      08-07-2023, 11:45 AM   #3457
fcman
Captain
678
Rep
991
Posts

Drives: 2023 G87
Join Date: Mar 2014
Location: Atlanta, GA

iTrader: (0)

Quote:
Originally Posted by chad86tsi View Post
Burden of proof logical fallacy:



The concept of "burden of proof" is a 2 way street.



changing the terms or reach of a claim to debunk it is not debunking the original claim.

Doing both at the same time is, well, kinda sad

It may advance a discussion to bring up these terms, but it's not "winning", and no one owes you a response on your terms.

We aren't a defending a PHD thesis here, no one owes you the replies you want.
"Burden of Proof" is not a logical fallacy, "Shifting the burden of proof" is. He made a claim, I asked for proof, if he asked me for proof that disproved his claim, that could potentially be Shifting the Burden. He has not asked for me to do that though so no shifting burden fallacy has been made by either of us

Again, I never moved the goalposts, he made a claim, I asked for proof of the exact claim he made. He has not provided any basis for his claim.

Last edited by fcman; 08-07-2023 at 12:03 PM..
Appreciate 0
      08-07-2023, 12:01 PM   #3458
chad86tsi
Captain
chad86tsi's Avatar
1605
Rep
787
Posts

Drives: 2019 BMW M760i P60 Greyblack
Join Date: Apr 2022
Location: Portland metro

iTrader: (0)

Quote:
Originally Posted by fcman View Post
"Burden of Proof" is not a logical fallacy, "Shifting the burden of proof" is. He made a claim, I asked for proof.
Logic tells us such a claim can never be proven.

If I write "Trump was a great president, it's well known", and you demand I prove it, can I? If I can't, does that mean you win and the claim is thus false? Whatever methods you could use to "Prove" such a claim can also be used to "diss-prove" it.

Whatever methods you could use to "Diss-Prove" such a claim can also be used to "Prove" it.

This is why it's considered Logical fallacy ...

Quote:
Again, I never moved the goalposts, he made a claim, I asked for proof of the exact claim he made. He has not provided any basis for his claim.
You didn't ask him to defend his comment, you asked him to defend your summary of it, and added more descriptive terms to your standard to be met. You literally moved the goal post.
Appreciate 3
M5Rick70884.00
Efthreeoh19427.50
      08-07-2023, 12:10 PM   #3459
fcman
Captain
678
Rep
991
Posts

Drives: 2023 G87
Join Date: Mar 2014
Location: Atlanta, GA

iTrader: (0)

Quote:
Originally Posted by chad86tsi View Post
Logic tells us such a claim can never be proven.

If I write "Trump was a great president, it's well known", and you demand I prove it, can I? If I can't, does that mean you win and the claim is thus false? Whatever methods you could use to "Prove" such a claim can also be used to "diss-prove" it.

Whatever methods you could use to "Diss-Prove" such a claim can also be used to "Prove" it.

This is why it's considered Logical fallacy ...
No logical fallacy has been committed

https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Hitchens%27s_razor

"what can be asserted without evidence can also be dismissed without evidence."

"the truthfulness of a claim lies with the one who makes the claim; if this burden is not met, then the claim is unfounded, and its opponents need not argue further in order to dismiss it."


Quote:
Originally Posted by chad86tsi View Post
You didn't ask him to defend his comment, you asked him to defend your summary of it, and added more descriptive terms to your standard to be met. You literally moved the goal post.
Nope, I have only asked him to defend his statement that BMW's have a reputation for longevity (he may call it whatever he wishes, I will not hold him to my definitions or descriptions of reliability vs durability). No evidence has been posted about BMW's reputation so I cannot have moved the goalposts

Last edited by fcman; 08-07-2023 at 12:17 PM..
Appreciate 0
      08-07-2023, 12:11 PM   #3460
G35POPPEDMYCHERRY
Banned
G35POPPEDMYCHERRY's Avatar
No_Country
4999
Rep
4,135
Posts

Drives: F80
Join Date: Dec 2015
Location: Philadelphia

iTrader: (1)

GODAMMNIT you all and you fallacies. THIS IS AMERICA.
Appreciate 4
KRS_SN14906.00
Efthreeoh19427.50
      08-07-2023, 12:28 PM   #3461
chad86tsi
Captain
chad86tsi's Avatar
1605
Rep
787
Posts

Drives: 2019 BMW M760i P60 Greyblack
Join Date: Apr 2022
Location: Portland metro

iTrader: (0)

Quote:
Originally Posted by fcman View Post
No logical fallacy has been committed

https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Hitchens%27s_razor

"what can be asserted without evidence can also be dismissed without evidence."

He has offered evidence, you want proof. That's moving the goal post. "Proof" is absent from Hitchens edict.


we can never be certain of anything, and so we must assign value to any claim based on the available evidence, and to dismiss something on the basis that it hasn't been proven beyond all doubt is also fallacious reasoning.



Quote:
Nope, I have only asked him to defend his statement that BMW's have a reputation for longevity (he may call it whatever he wishes, I will not hold him to my definitions or descriptions of reliability vs durability). No evidence has been posted about BMW's reputation so I cannot have moved the goalposts
No, now you are moving the goal posts back Now he can offer whatever evidence he wishes, and there is little you can do about it.
Appreciate 1
Efthreeoh19427.50
      08-07-2023, 12:34 PM   #3462
G MONEY
Lieutenant Colonel
1659
Rep
1,798
Posts

Drives: 2017 458/ YAS m4
Join Date: Jan 2022
Location: EARTH

iTrader: (0)

Quote:
Originally Posted by chad86tsi View Post
No, now you are moving the goal posts back Now he can offer whatever evidence he wishes, and there is little you can do about it.
You 2 girls should go see Barbie together and work this shit out. No one gives a fuck about your little cat fight. DM each other for god sake.
Appreciate 1
      08-07-2023, 12:37 PM   #3463
fcman
Captain
678
Rep
991
Posts

Drives: 2023 G87
Join Date: Mar 2014
Location: Atlanta, GA

iTrader: (0)

Quote:
Originally Posted by chad86tsi View Post
He has offered evidence, you want proof. That's moving the goal post. "Proof" is absent from Hitchens edict.


we can never be certain of anything, and so we must assign value to any claim based on the available evidence, and to dismiss something on the basis that it hasn't been proven beyond all doubt is also fallacious reasoning.
He has not provided any evidence of BMWs reputation. If he has, please quote it.


Quote:
Originally Posted by chad86tsi View Post
No, now you are moving the goal posts back Now he can offer whatever evidence he wishes, and there is little you can do about it.
Nope, still the same goalposts. He can absolutely offer the evidence which supports his claim, he has not done so
Appreciate 0
      08-07-2023, 01:12 PM   #3464
M5Rick
General
M5Rick's Avatar
70884
Rep
22,634
Posts

Drives: M5 F10 DCT Gunmetal
Join Date: Aug 2018
Location: GB

iTrader: (0)

^ You've ordered a new M2, so have you a current Bm fcman..
Appreciate 0
      08-07-2023, 01:20 PM   #3465
fcman
Captain
678
Rep
991
Posts

Drives: 2023 G87
Join Date: Mar 2014
Location: Atlanta, GA

iTrader: (0)

Quote:
Originally Posted by M5Rick View Post
^ You've ordered a new M2, so have you a current Bm fcman..
Not yet, but yes I will have one very soon

Sad to see my C7 go though, gonna miss the loud N/A V8
Appreciate 0
      08-07-2023, 01:37 PM   #3466
M5Rick
General
M5Rick's Avatar
70884
Rep
22,634
Posts

Drives: M5 F10 DCT Gunmetal
Join Date: Aug 2018
Location: GB

iTrader: (0)

Quote:
Originally Posted by fcman View Post
Not yet, but yes I will have one very soon

Sad to see my C7 go though, gonna miss the loud N/A V8
A Corvette I see, quite a come down from 6.2 litres and then the M2 twin turbo 6 is at 456 hp, holy crap that is a pocket rocket ship, no EV for you then
Appreciate 0
      08-07-2023, 01:43 PM   #3467
fcman
Captain
678
Rep
991
Posts

Drives: 2023 G87
Join Date: Mar 2014
Location: Atlanta, GA

iTrader: (0)

Quote:
Originally Posted by M5Rick View Post
A Corvette I see, quite a come down from 6.2 litres and then the M2 twin turbo 6 is at 456 hp, holy crap that is a pocket rocket ship, no EV for you then
Yeah, I want something small and sporty with back seats, also came close to buying an 800whp ZL1 1LE a few months ago but the car was catless and in my county the car has to pass emissions to be able to sell it, so the deal fell through.

We have a Tesla Model Y for shuttling the kid to and from school though.
Appreciate 0
      08-07-2023, 02:28 PM   #3468
M5Rick
General
M5Rick's Avatar
70884
Rep
22,634
Posts

Drives: M5 F10 DCT Gunmetal
Join Date: Aug 2018
Location: GB

iTrader: (0)

Quote:
Originally Posted by fcman View Post
Yeah, I want something small and sporty with back seats, also came close to buying an 800whp ZL1 1LE a few months ago but the car was catless and in my county the car has to pass emissions to be able to sell it, so the deal fell through.

We have a Tesla Model Y for shuttling the kid to and from school though.
4WD so should get you out of trouble when the snow comes, so what happens if the main battery should pack up
Appreciate 3
Efthreeoh19427.50
      08-07-2023, 02:50 PM   #3469
fcman
Captain
678
Rep
991
Posts

Drives: 2023 G87
Join Date: Mar 2014
Location: Atlanta, GA

iTrader: (0)

Quote:
Originally Posted by M5Rick View Post
4WD so should get you out of trouble when the snow comes, so what happens if the main battery should pack up
Luckily not much snow down here in Georgia. And still have 6+ years and over 100k miles left on my powertrain warranty so if something happens I'll get it replaced. The car will probably be sold/traded in well before the warranty is up.

I think the market will change very quickly though, at this point only around 2% of Teslas have passed the 8 year mark. There just really isn't much of a market yet for 3rd battery repair because a large majority of cars are still under warranty.

We'll see though, I plan on checking out some other EV options eventually, waiting for some attractive 3 rows.
Appreciate 0
      08-07-2023, 02:55 PM   #3470
Car-Addicted
Colonel
Car-Addicted's Avatar
United_States
8227
Rep
2,377
Posts

Drives: 2020 BMW M4 CS
Join Date: Jun 2023
Location: Central PA

iTrader: (0)

Garage List
2020 BMW M4 CS  [9.91]
Quote:
Originally Posted by M5Rick View Post
so what happens if the main battery should pack up
You had to go there?
Appreciate 1
Efthreeoh19427.50
      08-07-2023, 02:57 PM   #3471
fcman
Captain
678
Rep
991
Posts

Drives: 2023 G87
Join Date: Mar 2014
Location: Atlanta, GA

iTrader: (0)

Quote:
Originally Posted by Efthreeoh View Post
So just to play the game, I googled "cars with the reputation for durability". So all kinds of stuff comes up about reliability. Of course in every search result Toyota pops up as the leader for "reliability" "trouble free", "longevity", etc. Some site called "cool stuff" listed the 2023 BMW 4-Series as 4th on their list. So that's interesting to find a 2023 BMW listed as a car that has long term reliability when it's not even a model year old. And why is not the 3-series listed? It's the same car underneath the skin. I could have cited the 4-series as "proof" but I doubted the rating. So I'll take any internet result with a grain of salt.
That is very strange to be sure

Quote:
Originally Posted by Efthreeoh View Post
I'll be happy to go to a Toyota meet and match up my 26-year old non-pampered Z3 to any 26 year old Toyota and see which chassis is in better overall shape.
I think you would be surprised how well a 1997 Supra holds up
Appreciate 0
      08-07-2023, 08:03 PM   #3472
Car-Addicted
Colonel
Car-Addicted's Avatar
United_States
8227
Rep
2,377
Posts

Drives: 2020 BMW M4 CS
Join Date: Jun 2023
Location: Central PA

iTrader: (0)

Garage List
2020 BMW M4 CS  [9.91]
Tesla spontaneously catches fire, firefighters tag Elon Musk in social media post



A Tesla spontaneously caught fire last week while stored in a high-end auto yard, prompting responding firefighters to grab the attention of Elon Musk, head of the electric car company.

Images shared by the Metro Fire of Sacramento show crews hosing down a burned black Tesla on Aug 2 in Rancho Cordova.

The vehicle was salvaged due to flooding in Florida and was idle when it burst into flames, authorities said.

"Crews are unable to move it to a safe location to burn out, the vehicle is blocked in and surrounded by millions of dollars in salvaged vehicles including Ferraris, Lamborghinis and Bentleys.
Appreciate 3
M5Rick70884.00
KRS_SN14906.00
Efthreeoh19427.50
      08-08-2023, 02:15 AM   #3473
M5Rick
General
M5Rick's Avatar
70884
Rep
22,634
Posts

Drives: M5 F10 DCT Gunmetal
Join Date: Aug 2018
Location: GB

iTrader: (0)

Quote:
Originally Posted by Car-Addicted View Post
Tesla spontaneously catches fire, firefighters tag Elon Musk in social media post



A Tesla spontaneously caught fire last week while stored in a high-end auto yard, prompting responding firefighters to grab the attention of Elon Musk, head of the electric car company.

Images shared by the Metro Fire of Sacramento show crews hosing down a burned black Tesla on Aug 2 in Rancho Cordova.

The vehicle was salvaged due to flooding in Florida and was idle when it burst into flames, authorities said.

"Crews are unable to move it to a safe location to burn out, the vehicle is blocked in and surrounded by millions of dollars in salvaged vehicles including Ferraris, Lamborghinis and Bentleys.
Any salvaged Tesla or indeed any salvaged EV should be kept well away from gas vehicles and it does keep coming back to batteries. Even 'healthy' EV's could combust without warning so a double edged sword here..
Firemen have jacked the T there to hose the battery easier.
Appreciate 2
Efthreeoh19427.50
      08-08-2023, 06:36 AM   #3474
Efthreeoh
General
United_States
19428
Rep
19,840
Posts

Drives: The E90 + Z4 Coupe & Z3 R'ster
Join Date: May 2012
Location: Virginia

iTrader: (0)

Quote:
Originally Posted by fcman View Post
No logical fallacy has been committed

https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Hitchens%27s_razor

"what can be asserted without evidence can also be dismissed without evidence."

"the truthfulness of a claim lies with the one who makes the claim; if this burden is not met, then the claim is unfounded, and its opponents need not argue further in order to dismiss it."




Nope, I have only asked him to defend his statement that BMW's have a reputation for longevity (he may call it whatever he wishes, I will not hold him to my definitions or descriptions of reliability vs durability). No evidence has been posted about BMW's reputation so I cannot have moved the goalposts
"Shall it not be validated by the internet, then therefore it cannot be true".

Dumass Googleheim's razor...

Last edited by Efthreeoh; 08-08-2023 at 07:21 AM..
Appreciate 3
M5Rick70884.00
      08-08-2023, 08:04 AM   #3475
KRS_SN
Major General
KRS_SN's Avatar
United Kingdom
14906
Rep
5,635
Posts

Drives: IX,G07
Join Date: Oct 2018
Location: Glasgow

iTrader: (0)

Garage List
2020 X7  [10.00]
X5  [9.25]
IX  [8.67]
Quote:
Originally Posted by fcman View Post
These examples may show that bmw is committed to the long term for its vehicles, but they do not say anything about BMW’s reputation for building long lasting cars. And keep in mind, you are now discussing the AGE of cars, not the mileage or the overall durability. And the availability of parts has no direct correlation to durability either.
Bmw has a roaring approved used program.
It makes a lot of money this way. Probably more than on selling new cars. So they have an incentive for making their vehicles last. Tesla for eg doesn't have thos...it doesn't even have a extended warranty program for its cars (at least in the UK).
Appreciate 2
M5Rick70884.00
      08-08-2023, 09:51 AM   #3476
Car-Addicted
Colonel
Car-Addicted's Avatar
United_States
8227
Rep
2,377
Posts

Drives: 2020 BMW M4 CS
Join Date: Jun 2023
Location: Central PA

iTrader: (0)

Garage List
2020 BMW M4 CS  [9.91]
"The vehicle was salvaged due to flooding in Florida and was idle when it burst into flames"

This raises several questions:
Are all cars with minor flood damage forced into a salvage title? With the batteries making up the belly pan of a EV it will not take much water to submerged the battery and not damage the car. What is to keep someone from selling a flood damaged EV rather than to accepting a insurance settlement?
The used EV market is already depressed without the possibility of damaged EV's showing up.
Appreciate 2
M5Rick70884.00
Post Reply

Bookmarks


Posting Rules
You may not post new threads
You may not post replies
You may not post attachments
You may not edit your posts

BB code is On
Smilies are On
[IMG] code is On
HTML code is Off



All times are GMT -5. The time now is 08:33 AM.




g60
Powered by vBulletin® Version 3.8.11
Copyright ©2000 - 2024, vBulletin Solutions Inc.
1Addicts.com, BIMMERPOST.com, E90Post.com, F30Post.com, M3Post.com, ZPost.com, 5Post.com, 6Post.com, 7Post.com, XBimmers.com logo and trademark are properties of BIMMERPOST